Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby Chorlton » Thu Apr 29, 2010 3:03 pm

You Can Call Me Ray wrote:And this is why I lump Toon into the same group as his hero, Al Gore. They both just wish to ignore their own sins, and hope no one calls them on those sins. That is intellectual dishonesty, if not outright hypocrisy. I will at least admit to my sins and try to strike a balance. I will not ask anyone to do what I am not willing to do, and I expect the same of the rabid (pretend) treehuggers.
Ray


Yeah with you there but Toon says a lot of things just to get people to bite, but you also have to admit he does come out with some deep stuff every now and again.

Ive just bunged a small Solar cell unit on top of my shed to charge up 2 batteries I nicked from the tip last year. Both batteries were showing just on 12.8 Volts so I reasoned they werent dead.
Charged them up on the normal charger and they are good. So I now use one on my boat and one as a standby in the Motorcaravan.
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Thu Apr 29, 2010 3:10 pm

Chorlton wrote:Yeah with you there but Toon says a lot of things just to get people to bite, but you also have to admit he does come out with some deep stuff every now and again.


Oh no argument at all there! It's a real love-hate thing with Toon and I. And I love to get his goat every bit as much as he likes to zing me. But overall he's OK, and I appreciate the dialectic most of the time. :wink:

Ive just bunged a small Solar cell unit on top of my shed to charge up 2 batteries I nicked from the tip last year. Both batteries were showing just on 12.8 Volts so I reasoned they werent dead.
Charged them up on the normal charger and they are good. So I now use one on my boat and one as a standby in the Motorcaravan.


Good deal! =D> I am heading up to my Colorado place at the end of May to do all the interior electrical installs along with the grounding stake. Once that is inspected and approved, it will be time to start buying solar panels, inverters, and batteries/charger. Still not sure if I am going to try to integrate a wind turbine yet.

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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby Chorlton » Thu Apr 29, 2010 3:14 pm

I found out I cant put up any wind turbines at my new house. I'm too close to the Middle Wallop Apache base.

I can put up a long wire Radio antenna though as it will face east west from tree to tree so that will be OK.
The 'Secret' antenna, Im going to hide inside a BIG birdbox with painted canvas sides :D
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby gunter » Thu Apr 29, 2010 7:33 pm

And the world thanks you for your considerable effort, Mista C. As a token of our appreciation we are sending you four packages of-
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Enjoy!
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby Chorlton » Thu Apr 29, 2010 7:40 pm

I love that! 'With real fruit'
I mean, is there any other type?
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NOW we can honestly say "The Debate Is Over!"

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Tue May 25, 2010 3:15 pm

Mostly because we have actually HELD a debate, rather than just pretending to have a debate where Al Gore preaches and then shuts up anyone with facts that refute his preaching!

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/05/24/l ... ord-union/

Army of Light and Truth 135, Forces of Darkness 110

For what is believed to be the first time ever in England, an audience of university undergraduates has decisively rejected the notion that “global warming” is or could become a global crisis.


But I thought all undergrads were required, by contract, to support the AGW hypothesis, even in the face of refuting evidence? :)

Ms. Zara McGlone, Secretary of the Oxford Union, opposed the motion, saying that greenhouse gases had an effect [they do, but it is very small]; that the precautionary principle required immediate action, just in case and regardless of expense [but one must also bear in mind the cost of the precautions themselves, which can and often do easily exceed the cost of inaction]; that Bangladesh was sinking beneath the waves [a recent study by Prof. Niklas Moerner shows that sea level in Bangladesh has actually fallen]; that the majority of scientists believed “global warming” was a problem [she offered no evidence for this]; and that “irreversible natural destruction” would occur if we did nothing [but she did not offer any evidence].


Interesting that the greenies will invoke "precautionary principle" for something that is clearly not proven and for which the science is FAR from settled, but they reject the same principle when a dictatorial tyrant is openly calling for another nation to be wiped off the map. When it is something THEY care about, the "precautionary principle" seems to work just fine. When it comes to removing the cockroaches of the world from power, it matters not.

Lord Monckton repeatedly interrupted Lord Whitty to ask him to give a reference in the scientific literature for his suggestion that 95% of scientists believed our influence on the climate was catastrophic. Lord Whitty was unable to provide the source for his figure, but said that everyone knew it was true. Under further pressure from Lord Monckton, Lord Whitty conceded that the figure should perhaps be 92%. Lord Monckton asked: “And your reference is?” Lord Whitty was unable to reply. Hon. Members began to join in, jeering “Your reference? Your reference?” Lord Whitty sat down looking baffled.


WOW! Really? I did not think such crass irreverence to proper debate ettiquette was ever permitted at Oxford! :shock: I think Lord Whitty is losing his wits to fling such baseless generalizations out like that! "Everyone knows it is true" sounds a lot like something one hears on the playground.

Mr. Rajesh Makwana, executive director of “Share The World’s Resources”, speaking third for the opposition, said that climate change was manmade [but he did not produce any evidence for that assertion]; that CO2 emissions were growing at 3% a year [but it is concentrations, not emissions, that may in theory affect climate, and concentrations are rising at a harmless 0.5% a year]; that the UN’s climate panel had forecast a 7 F° “global warming” for the 21st century [it’s gotten off to a bad start, with a cooling of 0.2 F° so far]; and that the consequences of “global warming” would be dire [yet, in the audience, sat Mr. Klaus-Martin Schulte, whose landmark paper of 2008 had established that not one of 539 scientific papers on “global climate change” provided any evidence whatsoever that “global warming” would be catastrophic].


Strike 2. THIS is the kind of debate we have always needed. And as you see, when faced with the proper rules of debate, the AGW side cannot do anything but hurl platitudes and keep repeating the talking points. When faced with a need to actually support those talking points with facts, they simply cannot.

He glared at the opposition again and demanded whether, since they had declared themselves to be so worried about “global warming”, they would care to tell him – to two places of decimals and one standard deviation – the UN’s central estimate of the “global warming” that might result from a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration. The opposition were unable to reply. Lord Monckton told them the answer was 3.26 plus or minus 0.69 Kelvin or Celsius degrees. An Hon. Member interrupted: “And your reference is?” Lord Monckton replied: “IPCC, 2007, chapter 10, box 10.2.” [cheers].


That is how it is done! Citation is one thing, but to cite the oppositions own numbers to prove they are pissing in the wind...true debatesmanship!

Ya know, there are some of those British institutions that I can really get behind. But you can all keep your Spotted Dick, thank you very much! :wink:
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Re: NOW we can honestly say "The Debate Is Over!"

Postby Chorlton » Tue May 25, 2010 3:34 pm

You Can Call Me Ray wrote:
Ya know, there are some of those British institutions that I can really get behind. But you can all keep your Spotted Dick, thank you very much! :wink:
Ray


What? The Oxford Union? Bunch of namby pamby priviledged rich kids that have never done a days work in their life and probably never will?? You support them toff's,?
Your other sources are so flaky as to be pretty much laughable.
We'll have to agree to disagree on this subject.

I wouldnt eat Tinned Spotted Dick, if it was covered in Chocolate. Only the good home-made stuff for me.
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Re: NOW we can honestly say "The Debate Is Over!"

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Tue May 25, 2010 8:56 pm

Chorlton wrote:What? The Oxford Union? Bunch of namby pamby priviledged rich kids that have never done a days work in their life and probably never will?? You support them toff's,?
Your other sources are so flaky as to be pretty much laughable.


What other sources? And speaking of sources, I find it interesting that none of the "CLimate Change Foam At The Mouthers" could cite any sources to back up their claims, and yet when someone asked Monckton to cite his source, he immediately quoted the IPCC report he was using to foul their own conclusions of immiment doom! :)

We'll have to agree to disagree on this subject.


Well, OK.... but how about the thoughts of your other countrymen? It seems the fad of "global warming is caused by people and we are doomed" is all but dying out in Britain too...

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/05/24/c ... the-floor/

A survey in February by the BBC found that only 26 percent of Britons believed that “climate change is happening and is now established as largely manmade,” down from 41 percent in November 2009. A poll conducted for the German magazine Der Spiegel found that 42 percent of Germans feared global warming, down from 62 percent four years earlier.


Now that is change we can believe in! :)
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Artificial Scientific "Consensus"

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Mon Jun 14, 2010 3:56 pm

A climate scientist (from East Anglia Uni, no less!) spills the beans on how the "consensus" of scientists was manufactured by the IPCC. But no, they are NOT a political organization, are they? [-X

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/201 ... c-insider/

The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change misled the press and public into believing that thousands of scientists backed its claims on manmade global warming, according to Mike Hulme, a prominent climate scientist and IPCC insider. The actual number of scientists who backed that claim was “only a few dozen experts,” he states in a paper for Progress in Physical Geography, co-authored with student Martin Mahony.


Anyone want to bet that all the climate alarmists will CONTINUE to use this "consensus narrative" ad nauseum? I would set my watch by it, I am so confident.
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby Chorlton » Mon Jun 14, 2010 4:08 pm

To be honest, I'll be dead soon so I just dont care anymore. Thats how I feel right now.
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Mon Jun 14, 2010 4:33 pm

Chorlton wrote:To be honest, I'll be dead soon so I just dont care anymore. Thats how I feel right now.


Whether or not human are causing global warming, I agree an old coot like you should not care...especially if you are not leaving any energy-sucking dependents behind as your legacy. :wink: However, knowing how much you detest hoaxers and scammers pulling a fast one on people, I would think you SHOULD CARE about the nonsense and MASSIVE monetary-based scheme that folks were attempting to hoist ON THE WORLD.

Here is some more evidence of governments fudging science to spin their agenda. In my mind, this is MORE IMPORTANT that exposing the UFO hoaxers because tax dollars (money that is not discretionary to you and I) is involved!

NASA Charged in New Climate Fakery: Greenhouse Gas Data Bogus

Shocking new evidence of a NASA scientist faking a fundamental greenhouse gas equation shames beleaguered space administration in new global warming fraud scandal.

Caught in the heat are NASA’s Dr. Judith Curry and a junk science equation by the space agency’s Dr. Gavin Schmidt creating disarray over a contentious Earth energy graph

The internal row was ignited by the release of a sensational new research paper discrediting calculations crucial to the greenhouse gas theory.


Plenty to read here, so I will just give a few tidbits:

What ignited this latest Climategate-linked rumpus is a sensational new research paper, ‘A Greenhouse Effect on the Moon?’ otherwise called the ‘Moon Paper.’

Researchers for the paper scientifically proved that since at least 1997 climate scientists knew that guesswork was underpinning the whole greenhouse gas theory. In fact, so flaky are these numbers that they can be rendered to show a GHG effect on Earth’s moon, where no greenhouse gases exist! Thus, skeptics argue, the burning embers of political heat generated by the discredited theory should now finally and unequivocally be extinguished.

(snip)

The ‘Moon Paper’ spectacularly reveals that Apollo mission scientists devised a three-dimensional model for accurately determining Earth’s energy budget far more practicable than the rudimentary flat blackbody numbers of Stefan-Boltzmann. But those numbers contradicted any greenhouse warming effect and have thus been ignored by global warming tax advocates.


Cherry-picking data... we see it all too often when politics (and political MONEY!) are involved.

Schmidt wrote that he and his colleagues took the Stefan-Boltzmann blackbody numbers and multiplied them by an additional factor of two to devise NASA’s official Earth energy budget. But why multiply by two? Schmidt explains:

“The factor of two for A (the radiation emitted from the atmosphere) comes in because the atmosphere radiates both up and down.”—Gavin Schmidt (Real Climate, April 10, 2007)

It is Schmidt’s lunatic “up and down” elaboration on Stefan-Boltzmann’s numbers that Siddons proves contradicts the laws of physics. Gases do not radiate “up and down”- their radiation is isotropic, meaning the intensity is equal in all directions-not just ‘up and down’ as Schmidt describes. Thus multiplying CO2 by a factor of two is at the very least junk science, or worse: criminal fraud.

Pointedly, Schmidt soon entered the dark side by appearing to cover up his gaffe. Within a month he snuffed out all debate by closing the comments thread on his heavily censored website.


Any undergrad engineer has taken thermodynamics, and should understand just how specious is Gavin Schmidt's tap dance here. Sure Gavin...all you need is that "multiply by 2 fudge factor." Then when you are called on this nonsense, shut down all conversation on your forum!

Our junk science back story involves explaining how climate doomsayers misused the long-established Stefan-Boltzmann blackbody equation to invent the greenhouse gas theory of climate. The theory incorporates the two-dimensional flat body numbers to ‘calculate’ how much of the Sun’s energy enters and leaves the Earth’s atmosphere.

But the problem is Stefan-Boltzmann never intended for his numbers to be applied to a three-dimensional rotating planet.


And this is where the tap dance gets interesting...

I pointed out the confusion to Dr. Judith Curry who responded, “Everybody would agree that the simple black body planetary energy balance model is a drastic oversimplification, it is used only for illustrative purposes.”

But I then put it to Dr. Curry that neither NASA nor the IPCC publish anywhere anything other than the off beam Stefan-Boltzmann equations to illustrate the GHG theory. And why present the public (and presumably policy makers) with such a “drastic oversimplification” if NASA has tucked away a more accurate and robust equation ready to silence its critics?

No response. Yet Dr. Curry did assure me that, “Climate models (including very simple ones, not just the global general circulation models) include a full surface energy balance equation to determine surface temperature.”

But Dr. Curry left me no wiser as to what the “full surface energy balance equation” actually is. I, along with millions of taxpayers, hope to high heaven it’s not Gavin Schmidt’s snake oil.


Their tap dancing is just about done now...
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby gunter » Mon Jun 14, 2010 5:53 pm

Chorlton wrote:To be honest, I'll be dead soon so I just dont care anymore. Thats how I feel right now.
You and me both. But I think Ray will keep up baiting us even after we're both pushing up daisies (in the unbearable heat). The guy's relentless. Jeezizz spare us!
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Mon Jun 14, 2010 6:31 pm

gunter wrote: But I think Ray will keep up baiting us even after we're both pushing up daisies (in the unbearable heat). The guy's relentless.


He says pretending that he is not exactly the same way!

Here is how the double standard goes with Toon: Republican lies/obfuscates/commits fraud, and the world is coming to an end. Democrat lies/obfuscates/commits fraud and that is just "good politics".

You can't handle the truth.
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby gunter » Mon Jun 14, 2010 6:50 pm

Well- I admit I can't handle your perception of the truth. Many men, many truths. And since there's absolutely no prospect of either of us convincing the other- the argument is an exercise in futility. Futility, I can do without.
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Re: Trying to use Science to spin a political agenda!

Postby You Can Call Me Ray » Tue Jun 15, 2010 12:56 am

gunter wrote:Well- I admit I can't handle your perception of the truth. Many men, many truths. And since there's absolutely no prospect of either of us convincing the other- the argument is an exercise in futility.


Oh really now?

Well, while I understand that you consider yourself the last word on all things philosophical, I wonder how you might feel about some of your "bretheren philosophers" calling the whole Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) fiasco an "epistemological monster"?

http://www.probeinternational.org/Hulme ... 5B1%5D.pdf

Mayer and Arndt (2009) warn against the ‘epistemological hegemony’ of the IPCC and sociologist Bruno Latour goes so far as to describe the IPCC as an ‘epistemological monster’ (cited in Dahan-Dalmedico, 2008).


Citations:

Mayer,M. and Arndt,F.J. (2009) The politics of socionatures: images of environmental foreign policy Chapter 5 in, Environmental change and foreign policy: theory and practice (ed.) Harris,P.G., Routledge, London

Dahan-Dalmedico,A. (2008) Climate expertise: between scientific credibility and geopolitical imperatives Interdisciplinary Science Reviews 33(1), 71-81

Seems like others are just as concerned as those of us who practice honest science!
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